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71.
72.
新世纪上海地区相对海平面变化影响因素及预测方法 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
针对传统相对海平面变化分析方法均将理论海平面变化和地面沉降进行的叠加分析,本文讨论和分析了近20年来全球理论海平面上升速率加快背景下的区域海平面变化速率,利用灰色线性回归组合模型预测上海地区海平面变化趋势。考虑了上海地面沉降发展的新特点,以及长江流域来沙显著减少和河口大型工程建设对上海地区相对海平面变化的影响。在流域来沙量显著减少但来水量变化不大情况下,流域大坝的坝下冲刷使得河槽刷深,河口水位降低,同时长江口深水航道整治工程和促淤围垦工程束狭入海口,使得潮位站水位发生变化,两者的综合效应是目前研究长江口相对海平面变化时必须考虑的重要因素。 相似文献
73.
Low-frequency variability of the North Equatorial Current bifurcation in the past 40 years from SODA 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
The low-frequency variability of the North Equatorial Current (NEC) bifurcation during 1958 to 2001 was investigated with the Simple Ocean Data Assimilation (SODA) 2.0.2 dataset.In agreement with recent observations,the NEC bifurcation latitude (NBL) shifted northward as depth increases, from about 12.7°N near the surface to about 17.1°N at depths around 500 m for the annual average. This study reveals that the interannual variations of NBL,with five years period,mainly focused on the upper 500 m with amplitude increasing as depth increased.The NBL shifted southward in the past 40 years,which was more significant in the subsurface at more than -0.02°/a.The NBL manifests itself in the transports of NMK (NEC-Mindanao Current (MC)-Kuroshio) system in strong relationship with MC (0.7) and Kuroshio (-0.7).The EOF analysis of meridional velocity off the Philippine coast shows that the first mode,explaining 62% of variance and 5 years period,was highly correlated with the southward shift of NBL with coefficient at about 0.75.The southward shift of NBL consists with the weakening of MC and strengthening of Kuroshio,which exhibited linear trends at -0.24Sv/a and 0.11Sv/a.Both interannual variation and trend of NBL were closely related to the variation of NMK system. 相似文献
74.
When waves impact a seawall, a vertical breakwater, an exposed jetty, a pier or a coastal bridge, they abruptly transfer their momentum into the structure. This energy transfer can be very violent and its duration exceptionally short. In the case of coastal bridges, whose spans are designed to have very short vibration period, wave impacts might have duration comparable to the natural period of oscillation of the structure, which therefore becomes prone to damage and failure. Previous forensic studies have documented the relative importance of impulsive loads on deck suspended structure, demonstrating the need to assess the effect of wave impacts on both the stability and the integrity of structural members since the early stages of the design. This requires the estimation of the dynamic characteristics of the loading pattern, and in particular the wave impulse and corresponding impact maxima and rise times. Based on the conservation of momentum, functional relationships between these parameters have been identified since pioneering work dating back to the late '30s of the 20th century. The complexity of the loading process, however, results in a significantly large variability of wave impact maxima and rise times even under similar conditions, suggesting the need for a probabilistic approach to the definition of the relationship between these two variables, to be applied when estimating the dynamic properties of wave for use in structural analysis of coastal structures. In the recent past, some effort has been made to identify functional relationships between such quantities; these require the assessment of the conditional quantiles (or similarly the conditional distribution) of wave impact maxima given the rise times. In this paper, we compare three different statistical methods proposed in the literature to accomplish this task, in order to assess the reliability of the approach and suggest guidelines for practical applications. A copula-based method, Generalized Additive Models for Location, Scale and Shape (GAMLSS), and quantile regression are applied to measurements from large-scale 3-dimensional physical model tests. The investigation suggests that quantile regression gives the simplest results to be used in practice; copula approach and GAMLSS are possible alternative when semi-parametric or fully parametric modeling is needed. 相似文献
75.
基于HJ1A-HSI超光谱影像的耕地有机质遥感定量反演 总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5
以环境小卫星超光谱影像为主要数据源,在耕地有机质实测样本的支持下,开展光谱反射率及其变化形式与有机质的相关性分析,筛选耕地有机质响应的敏感波段与特征组合算法,利用多元回归分析方法,建立基于HSI影像的耕地有机质定量反演模型。研究结果表明,耕地有机质的HSI影像响应波段均位于可见光与近红外波段间,其中以540~860nm范围最佳,相关系数均在0.5左右;HSI反射率对数一阶微分预测模型精度最高,模型及其检验的决定系数都在0.7以上,均方根误差在0.2%左右,可用于顺义区耕地有机质全覆盖空间填图。因此,环境小卫星的超光谱影像对耕地有机质含量具有较好的光谱响应能力,其空间覆盖能力有助于开展县域尺度的耕地有机质遥感反演和空间填图。 相似文献
76.
在利用遥感数据和地理信息系统(GIS)技术的矿产资源勘查与评价中,矿化蚀变信息提取和构造信息提取起着至关重要的作用。以缅甸铜金矿为例,利用ETM+遥感图像,采用比值法、阈值分割和主成分分析(PCA)提取羟基蚀变信息;利用数字高程模型和遥感数据提取与铜金矿化有关的线环构造,结合地质资料和上述信息,利用证据权和分形方法进行整合,确定该研究区的成矿远景区。结果发现,已知铜金矿均分布于成矿靶区中,综合信息可为下一步的矿产资源勘探工作提供决策依据。 相似文献
77.
78.
ArcGIS在东昆仑西段铁矿资源预测中的应用——以矽卡岩型铁矿为例 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
GIS在矿产预测中的应用研究日益普及和深化,在矿产勘查领域中已成为一种快速有效成矿预测方法。本文以东昆仑西段矽卡岩型铁矿为例,从研究区的地质背景和已查明的13个矽卡岩型铁矿(点)出发,基于ArcGIS平台,建立本研究区的空间数据库,结合已知矿(点)地质资料和野外验证分析,建立找矿模型与预测区提取模型,由于矽卡岩型矿床主... 相似文献
79.
Robert Šajn Josip Halamić Zoran Peh Lidija Galović Jasminka Alijagić 《Journal of Geochemical Exploration》2011
The objectives of this study are as follows: (a) an assessment of the geochemical background signature of the Drava Valley before the industrial revolution; (b) an evaluation of anthropogenic geochemical influences on the alluvial plains and river terraces in the valley; and (c) a determination of the spatial distribution of trace elements in the alluvial soils of the Drava River downstream of the Austrian–Slovenian border to the confluence of Mura and Drava Rivers. 相似文献
80.